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Norfolk, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Norfolk NE
National Weather Service Forecast for: Norfolk NE
Issued by: National Weather Service WFO Omaha, NE
Updated: 9:48 pm CST Nov 14, 2024
 
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Light and variable wind.
Mostly Clear
Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Light south southeast wind becoming southeast 12 to 17 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South southeast wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a south wind 9 to 18 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Sunny and
Breezy
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. West northwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 55. West northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Showers, mainly after noon.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Light east southeast wind becoming east 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Showers
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers likely, mainly before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. East wind 13 to 15 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Showers
Likely
Lo 32 °F Hi 60 °F Lo 44 °F Hi 64 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 55 °F Lo 33 °F Hi 52 °F Lo 36 °F

 

Tonight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Light and variable wind.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 60. Light south southeast wind becoming southeast 12 to 17 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South southeast wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a south wind 9 to 18 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 34. West northwest wind around 7 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 55. West northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
 
Showers, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Light east southeast wind becoming east 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Monday Night
 
Showers likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. East wind 13 to 15 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Breezy, with a northwest wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Breezy, with a north northwest wind 16 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Blustery, with a north northwest wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Thursday
 
A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Breezy, with a north northwest wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Norfolk NE.

Weather Forecast Discussion
803
FXUS63 KOAX 150340
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
940 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures (highs in the upper 50 and 60s) and
  dry conditions are expected through Sunday.

- Precipitation chances return Monday and Tuesday (50-80%
  chance) as a low pressure system approaches. As of now, all of
  the precipitation is expected to fall as rain.

- Uncertainty grows for the remainder of the end of the week,
  but a rain/snow mix is possible with much cooler temps
  forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 330 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Another day of relatively benign weather continues with sunny
skies and negligible winds. Temps have surpassed 60F in a
couple of locations under southwest flow on the backside of a
ridge. With quiet winds forecast tonight and temps plummeting
under starry skies, expect temps to approach dewpoints. Patchy
fog is likely in western Iowa and Nebraska river valleys. Dense
fog doesn`t seem likely, but will warn the evening forecasters
to keep an eye on obs.

Over the course of the weekend, our temperatures will slowly
climb thanks to the influence of that continued southwest flow
over the mid-Missouri Valley. Saturday will serve as the week`s
warmest day with maximum temps in the lower to mid-60s under
clearing skies and southwesterly winds gusting up to 30 mph.

As a cutoff low digs down the California coast on Saturday
night, southwest flow at H5 will stretch from Baja through the
arrowhead of Minnesota. A lee trof developing in Colorado will
be caught up in the H5 flow and drive northeast along the
surface front that will be sagging south. A cold front will sag
through the area with little change beyond a wind shift and a
loss of about ten degrees Fahrenheit. We will remain dry
through the weekend. That will change for the work week.

The Cali low ejects east Sunday night and hits climatological
minimums for H5 heights and mean SLP as it traverses Texas
(NAEFS).

.MONDAY AND TUESDAY...

The center of the cutoff low pushes north through the Central
Plains Monday, but with an anomalous high over the Canadian
maritimes and a low south of it over the Atlantic, that low is
going to have a hard time making it much farther east (blocking
pattern). That slow but powerful system will advect
climatologically anomalous moisture from the GoMex through
eastern Nebraska and Iowa (and farther north). The NAEFS mean
PWAT ranges from 0.75 to 1.3 inches across the area by mid- day
Monday.

PoPs begin along the KS/MO state lines after midnight Sunday
night and grow to likely (60-95%) by Monday afternoon. Mid-
range machine learning models (CSU) suggest a 5-15 probability
of excessive rainfall for Monday. Current NBM QMD 24hr precip
probabilities of 1" of rain range from about 20% at Norfolk to
about 70% at Falls City. Thinking at this point is that the dry
slot will bring an end or a major diminshment of precipitation
(drizzle?) on Tuesday. Clustering of low pressure centers of
GEFS and ECE members is pretty good by Monday night (NE Kansas).

.WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND...

Model solutions begin to diverge by Wednesday, though both
deterministic EC and GFS produce a second low dropping south on
the heels of the first low. It looks breezy or windy behind the
ejecting system with about 10% of ensemble members producing
50mph gusts in the area. Current NBM PoPs of 30% look reasonable
with a rain/snow mix possible for the western tier of counties
on Wednesday night. Max temps on Wednesday and Thursday peak
near 40F and lows fall solidly into the 20s.

For those itching to get out a sled or a shovel, the NBM 90th
percentile (only a 10% chance of this actually happening)
produces about one inch at Lincoln and Omaha and up to 4-5"
north of Norfolk. But to be clear, this is unlikely...
especially considering the warmth of the ground this time of
year. But there is certainly a chance that some Nebraskans will
see their first snowflake of the season. It`s less likely for
those of you reading this from the 712 area codes.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 940 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

VFR conditions through the period. Winds at TAF issuance from
the southwest to southeast at 6 knots or less. Southeasterly
winds increase to 12 to 14 knots by 18z, with gusts up to 24
knots thereafter. LLWS likely develops at all sites toward the
end of the TAF period by 16/04-06z, but too far out to include
in this package.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Nicolaisen
AVIATION...DeWald
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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